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Investment Strategy


Investment Philosophy      Process      Buy/Sell Discipline

Investment Philosophy

Our investment philosophy is that active fundamental stock selection can provide outperformance to an index of securities over time because business values differ from stock prices at various times over the course of a market cycle. The Profit Large Cap Equity product is an Active Core Large Capitalization approach to investing that is valuation-sensitive growth investing.

The product utilizes the Profit Investment Management Style (PIMS) and focuses on companies that have the potential to outperform a stock market average from

(1)   Rapid earnings expansion
(2)   Investor revaluation of the relationship between a company’s fundamental valuation and its current market price

Our Large Cap Equity Composite portfolio is a focused, low-turnover portfolio that typically consists of 37-45 companies.  We seek to generate alpha by owning securities that have been mis-priced by the market (i.e., trade at a significant discount to their intrinsic value as determined by our PIMS). Hence, we are valuation-sensitive growth investors.


The Profit Large Cap Equity is designed to perform in all market environments over the course of the market cycle.  At the core of our process is the belief that mis-priced businesses can be found within the stock market at any point within the market cycle.

Process

Profit Investment Management (PIM) initiates the research process with our in-house proprietary screening model—PIMS—which is most similar to the GARP investment style. It is a rigorous process that blends fundamentals-based quantitative analysis, focused qualitative reviews, risk-control guidelines and advanced technology to assess stocks and build portfolios.

PIMS capitalizes on the fact that, after one adjusts for market and industry group influences and temporary market effects, successful stocks share common characteristics. We combine fundamental market knowledge with technology to identify characteristics driving equity returns. This enables the investment team to systematically evaluate several thousand stocks with efficiency, objectivity and consistency. Each PIM portfolio holds large capitalization stocks that have trailing P/Es lower than the benchmark, Return On Equity greater than the benchmark, P/E to Earnings Growth (PEG) below a specified level, and at least double digit five-year projected earnings growth.

PIM determines the company's intrinsic value (what a rational buyer would pay for the entire company) through discounted cash flows, historical market multiples and transaction multiples.  The investment team then verifies the strength of the company's financial statements by reading 10Ks, 10Qs and industry reports.  We read current news to learn why the company's stock is trading at a discount to our intrinsic value calculation. This step provides us an advantage absent with many firms: avoiding overconfidence. By taking time to critically try and prove our investment thesis wrong before entering a position, we are able to determine if our thesis holds water or if the market’s assessment is correct. This is an additional reason our turnover is lower than the typical firm’s.

The portfolio manager verifies whether the company's competitive advantage is sustainable. For example, the PM may ask himself if the company is able to deliver the earnings projected and if there is an identifiable catalyst to assist other investors in recognizing the stock’s value. 

Finally, those stocks selected are then purchased and held until our price objective is attained or until our investment thesis is proven incorrect. We’re looking to avoid being overconfident even after entering our position.

Buy/Sell Discipline


PIM buys a security when 1) the valuation is low compared to the earnings growth of the stock and 2) a rationale for the stock market mis-pricing of the security can be identified and correctable. The characteristics that we consider attractive for a stock to be considered in our portfolio include: 1) a low P/E relative to a company’s history and/or its peer group 2) attractive return on equity 3) strong management team 4) low price to earnings growth ratio 5) consistent earnings growth rates and 6) the value of the company should be trading at least 30% below our calculated intrinsic value.


PIM sells a security when (1) it becomes overvalued relative to its intrinsic value (2) our price objective is attained (i.e. market price within 10% of intrinsic value) 3) a substantial change in the company’s fundamentals occurs 4) we have a loss of confidence in management's execution of business objectives 5) there is a fundamental change in competitive landscape 6) the price becomes overvalued relative to other investment opportunities 7) there is a material decline from initial purchase price or 8) the company suffers from substantial underperformance relative to its sector.

Eugene Profit makes all the key decisions at every stage in developing the portfolio.


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